Read probability results with confidence
Understanding calculation methods and uncertainty makes it easier to turn numbers into deck decisions.
01
What is opening-hand probability?
Turn an opening into a measurable condition and compare deck ratios fairly.
02Exact calculation vs. simulation
Distinguish a combinatorial answer from a Monte Carlo estimate.
03Modeling draw and search effects
Enter access cards in play order without overstating their contribution.
04Reading confidence intervals
Understand simulation uncertainty without exaggerating small differences.
05Modeling mulligan rules and keep strategies
Compare full redraws, London-style, decreasing, and selective redraw rules.
06Designing AND, OR, and tag-based goals
Model multi-piece combinations and groups of interchangeable starters.
07Modeling resource supply and costs
Represent main-deck resources, auxiliary decks, and automatic supply without game-specific vocabulary.